Tensions in the Horn of Africa escalated as Somalia accused Ethiopia of undermining its internal stability by inciting clan conflicts in the volatile Gedo region. The Somali government alleges that Ethiopia’s recent deployment of non-African Union troops into the area, coupled with its support for the semi-autonomous Jubaland administration, constitutes interference in Somalia’s sovereignty.
Ethiopian troops reportedly entered Somalia, establishing positions in Dollow town amid claims that Addis Ababa is bolstering Jubaland’s leader, Ahmed Madobe. This move comes against the backdrop of an ongoing political dispute between Jubaland and Somalia’s federal government, with Mogadishu accusing Madobe of resisting national unity efforts. Somalia has issued warnings, demanding Ethiopia withdraw its forces by the end of December, failing which they will be deemed occupying forces.
Further complicating matters, Ethiopia’s controversial agreements with Somaliland—a self-declared independent state that Somalia considers part of its territory—have heightened tensions. Ethiopia’s military and economic engagement with Somaliland has been labeled an “act of aggression” by Mogadishu, which views it as a direct challenge to its territorial integrity.
The dispute has drawn regional and international attention, with the African Union and the Arab League urging restraint and dialogue. Meanwhile, Somalia has shifted its strategic partnerships, choosing Egypt to replace Ethiopia in upcoming peacekeeping operations under the African Union, intensifying an already strained Ethiopia-Egypt relationship rooted in Nile water disputes.
Observers warn that the growing friction between Somalia and Ethiopia could destabilize the region further, with clan conflicts and external alliances posing significant risks of escalation. As both nations navigate this sensitive period, calls for diplomatic resolutions remain crucial to prevent broader conflict.
