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ECONOMY

Pound Weakens as UK Borrowing Costs Hit 27-Year High, Forcing Nigerian Families to Brace for Remittance Strain

Nigeria is confronting mounting pressure on remittance inflows from the United Kingdom, amid a perfect storm created by rocketing UK borrowing costs and a depreciating pound. On September 2, 2025, the yield on 30-year UK government bonds soared to around 5.72%, marking a 27-year high and evoking memories of fiscal strain last seen in 1998. At the same time, sterling plummeted sharply, registering its worst daily performance in nearly three months—sending ripples through the financial lifelines of Nigerian families abroad.

This rise in long-term gilt yields underscores deep investor anxiety over Britain’s fiscal direction. Analysts point to persistent inflation, ballooning public debt, and political turbulence—including a recent cabinet reshuffle under Prime Minister Keir Starmer—as raising questions over fiscal discipline in the lead-up to the upcoming autumn budget. With the debt-to-GDP ratio nearing 100 per cent, Chancellor Rachel Reeves now confronts the titanic task of closing a sizable budget deficit while maintaining economic growth.

The UK’s Debt Management Office raised a record £14 billion in 10-year government bonds—though at the highest yield since 2008—an indication both of investor demand and of the increased cost of servicing new debt. Demand exceeded £140 billion, but the upside for the UK Treasury is tempered by the steep borrowing price. Global markets, meanwhile, echoed the unease, with rising yields seen across Europe and the United States.

The pound’s tumble compounded the strain on Nigeria’s diaspora. While local media had earlier reported that the pound slipped to about ₦2,070 in the parallel market, closer examination shows the mid-market rate hovering between ₦2,045 and ₦2,059 as of September 2. One data provider, Wise, listed the rate at roughly ₦2,044.95, with daily fluctuations between ₦2,044 and ₦2,075. Meanwhile, user-reported black market rates suggested a buy/sell range between ₦2,080 and ₦2,130, though such figures are less reliable.

Whatever the exact figure, the trend is clear: sterling is weaker, and Nigerian households relying on transfers from relatives in the UK are feeling the pinch. Chiazor Victor, Head of Research at FSL Securities, highlighted how rising domestic costs—especially surging mortgage repayments, personal loans, and car financing—are squeezing household budgets in Britain. As expatriate families grapple with higher living expenses, they are being forced to trim discretionary spending, immediately affecting the volume and frequency of remittances sent home.

For millions of Nigerian recipients, remittances are not just economical help—they are a daily lifeline covering essentials such as food, school fees, healthcare, and housing. The combined hit of elevated remitting costs, a weaker pound, and costlier UK borrowing suggests a likely contraction in the volume of funds arriving into Nigeria. Lower remittance receipts can tighten foreign currency availability on the Nigerian market, potentially exerting upward pressure on the naira and adding further strain to domestic living standards.

In summary, the confluence of Britain’s escalating borrowing costs and its currency’s weakened position presents a direct financial squeeze on the Nigerian diaspora and their loved ones back home. With the UK’s looming autumn budget offering little relief and both markets and families on edge, the outlook remains fragile.

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